by Mr. Mitt » October 6th, 2009, 1:21 pm
I have a few interesting question for everyone. Questions that I've asked many collectors and have discussed at length with them.
1) Though we, as a collecting community, are trying to determine (the best we can) the population of certain gloves, will this ever be possible given the mentality of glove collectors and the nature of vintage equipment in general?
I believe that we may obtain a rough estimate of gloves in existence, but we'll never accurately determine, even near-exact, population reports. Obviously, the nature of vintage equipment is the first hurdle. What we collect was meant to be used and played with. Because of this, there's no way of knowing how many of a particular glove survived, not to mention how many were actually produced. Simple economics suggest that gloves, compared with other items produced in the past that we now collect (i.e. cards), were made in far fewer quantities. Kids would buy/trade for hundreds of cards which they treasured and saved. On the other hand, gloves were large purchases. They were fortunate to own one and used it until it was falling apart. Sure, we've been lucky enough to find some amazing examples that were minimally used, but more often than not, vintage equipment was used and discarded.
It's because of this, I believe, that the mindset of vintage glove collectors is different than other collectors. Again, the normal comparison is cards. If you peruse card message boards you'll see a considerable difference between them and our humble forum. Participation is extremely low here, by comparison. It's more like a game of poker where what's in our collection is held close to the vest instead of boasting about our finds and conquests. Cards have become a commodity where gloves, given their scarcity, will never be liquid. Here's a great example. A card collector could make a few calls and obtain the extremely desirable T206 Cobb with a Cobb back at any time, as long as he's willing to pay. A glove collector can not do that if he's looking for a Cobb endorsed glove. The most difficult part of obtaining a very rare glove is finding someone who has one. Granted, it's become a bit easier recently given the few collectors who attach their names to gloves on Jim's site, but there are more glove collectors out there, in the shadows, with things we don't know about or have never seen before. A perfect example of this is the other thread showing an old Oregon Trail Auction catalog. Many of those gloves sold years ago have never resurfaced in the hobby. Where are they? They are in collections where owners aren't willing to be outed in the hobby. Again, glove collectors are a completely different animal.
2) This leads me to my second question. Given my opinions above, I've always used the "rule of three" when it comes to glove populations. Whatever the known population of a glove is, I multiply it by three to determine a rough estimate of a truer population. How many times has a low-pop glove come available, and then another one or two immediately followed? Too often. Do any of you use a multiplier? What number is it?